Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::select(-Tiempo,-link) %>%
dplyr::select(fecha, gasto, monto, gastador,obs) %>% tail(30) %>%
knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12)
| fecha | gasto | monto | gastador | obs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/6/2023 | Diosi | 19330 | Tami | Antiparasitario petsu |
| 17/6/2023 | Diosi | 15980 | Tami | Arena Petsu |
| 17/6/2023 | Comida | 49459 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 22/6/2023 | VTR | 22000 | Tami | NA |
| 24/6/2023 | Comida | 51345 | Tami | NA |
| 29/6/2023 | Enceres | 28352 | Tami | Incoludido (confort y detergente) |
| 30/6/2023 | Comida | 6863 | Andrés | choritos etc |
| 30/6/2023 | Electricidad | 49877 | Andrés | enel |
| 30/6/2023 | Agua | 12706 | Andrés | NA |
| 1/7/2023 | Comida | 48400 | Andrés | de la ostia |
| 2/7/2023 | Comida | 70135 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 2/7/2023 | Parafina | 19418 | Tami | NA |
| 4/7/2023 | Comida | 12000 | Andrés | nueces y almendras 500 gr |
| 6/7/2023 | Gas | 68950 | Andrés | lipigas |
| 8/7/2023 | Agua | 12706 | Andrés | NA |
| 8/7/2023 | Comida | 57693 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 9/7/2023 | correo | 8000 | Andrés | correos de chile raul miranda |
| 9/7/2023 | mouse | 51980 | Andrés | NA |
| 9/7/2023 | lamina | 13800 | Andrés | NA |
| 12/7/2023 | Comida | 26780 | Andrés | NA |
| 12/7/2023 | Netflix | 11880 | Tami | Netflix junio y julio 2023 |
| 17/7/2023 | Comida | 86974 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 19/7/2023 | VTR | 21990 | Andrés | NA |
| 25/7/2023 | Comida | 75171 | Tami | Supermercado |
| 24/7/2023 | Enceres | 27065 | Andrés | secador platos |
| 30/7/2023 | Comida | 19630 | Andrés | choritos, costa rama y weas |
| 30/7/2023 | Parafina | 19920 | Tami | NA |
| 30/7/2023 | Electricidad | 49345 | Andrés | PAC ENEL 01686518 |
| 31/3/2019 | Comida | 9000 | Andrés | NA |
| 8/9/2019 | Comida | 24588 | Andrés | Super Lider |
#para ver las diferencias depués de la diosi
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,.drop = F) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_media=mean(monto,na.rm=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=lubridate::week(fecha)) %>%#después de diosi. Junio 24, 2019
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
assign("ts_gastos_casa_week_treat", ., envir = .GlobalEnv)
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Promedio de gasto por gastador", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat,ylim=c(0,75000), xlab="", ylab="")
par(mfrow=c(1,2))
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Antes de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==0,], xlab="", ylab="", ylim=c(0,70000))
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Después de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==1,], xlab="", ylab="",ylim=c(0,70000))
library(ggiraph)
library(scales)
#if( requireNamespace("dplyr", quietly = TRUE)){
gg <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha_week>"2019 W26",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(week=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "week"))))%>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_week= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha_week, c("%Y-W%V"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador_nombre, fecha_simp) %>%
dplyr::summarise(monto_total=sum(monto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(tooltip= paste0(substr(gastador_nombre,1,1),"=",round(monto_total/1000,2))) %>%
ggplot(aes(hover_css = "fill:none;")) +#, ) +
#stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
geom_line(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre)),size=1,alpha=.5) +
ggiraph::geom_point_interactive(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre),tooltip=tooltip),size = 1) +
#geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +
# guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") + ggtitle( "Figura 4. Gastos por Gastador") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
scale_x_yearweek(date_breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35), legend.position='bottom')+
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
# x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
# x <- girafe_options(x = x,
# opts_hover(css = "stroke:red;fill:orange") )
# if( interactive() ) print(x)
#}
tooltip_css <- "background-color:gray;color:white;font-style:italic;padding:10px;border-radius:10px 20px 10px 20px;"
#ggiraph(code = {print(gg)}, tooltip_extra_css = tooltip_css, tooltip_opacity = .75 )
x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
x <- girafe_options(x,
opts_zoom(min = 1, max = 3), opts_hover(css =tooltip_css))
x
plot<-Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(month=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "month"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(month)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = month, y = gasto_total)) +
geom_point()+
geom_line(size=1) +
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") +
ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Mes") +
scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 month", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45))
plotly::ggplotly(plot)
plot2<-Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = day, y = gasto_total)) +
geom_line(size=1) +
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2020-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") +
ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Día") +
scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45))
plotly::ggplotly(plot2)
tsData <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2019-06-02")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2020-03-10")~covid+1,TRUE~covid))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
data.frame()
tsData_gastos <-ts(tsData$gasto_total, frequency=7)
mstsData_gastos <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto, seasonal.periods=c(7,30))
tsData_gastos = decompose(tsData_gastos)
#plot(tsData_Santiago, title="Descomposición del número de casos confirmados para Santiago")
forecast::autoplot(tsData_gastos, main="Descomposición de los Gastos Diarios")+
theme_bw()+ labs(x="Weeks")
tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()
#tsData_gastos$trend
#Using the inputted variables, a Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model is fitted which estimates the difference in means between interrupted and non-interrupted time periods, while accounting for the lag of the dependent variable and any further specified covariates.
#Typically such analyses use Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models to handle the serial dependence of the residuals of a linear model, which is estimated either as part of the ARIMA process or through a standard linear regression modeling process [9,17]. All such time series methods enable the effect of the event to be separated from general trends and serial dependencies in time, thereby enabling valid statistical inferences to be made about whether an intervention has had an effect on a time series.
#it uses Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model
#ITSA model da cuenta de observaciones autocorrelacionadas e impactos dinámicos mediante una regresión de deltas en rezagados. Una vez que se incorporan en el modelo, se controlan.
#residual autocorrelation assumptions
#TSA allows the model to account for baseline levels and trends present in the data therefore allowing us to attribute significant changes to the interruption
#RDestimate(all~agecell,data=metro_region,cutpoint = 21)
tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()
itsa_metro_region_quar2<-
its.analysis::itsa.model(time = "day", depvar = "trend",data=tsdata_gastos_trend,
interrupt_var = "covid",
alpha = 0.05,no.plots = F, bootstrap = TRUE, Reps = 10000, print = F)
print(itsa_metro_region_quar2)
## [[1]]
## [1] "ITSA Model Fit"
##
## $aov.result
## Anova Table (Type II tests)
##
## Response: depvar
## Sum Sq Df F value Pr(>F)
## interrupt_var 6.8705e+08 2 7.1396 9e-04 ***
## lag_depvar 8.4425e+10 1 1754.6277 <2e-16 ***
## Residuals 2.8869e+10 600
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## $tukey.result
## Tukey multiple comparisons of means
## 95% family-wise confidence level
##
## Fit: stats::aov(formula = x$depvar ~ x$interrupt_var)
##
## $`x$interrupt_var`
## diff lwr upr p adj
## 1-0 7228.838 1098.732 13358.94 0.0158859
## 2-0 28470.053 22881.749 34058.36 0.0000000
## 2-1 21241.214 17925.385 24557.04 0.0000000
##
##
## $data
## depvar interrupt_var lag_depvar
## 2 19269.29 0 16010.00
## 3 24139.00 0 19269.29
## 4 23816.14 0 24139.00
## 5 26510.14 0 23816.14
## 6 23456.71 0 26510.14
## 7 24276.71 0 23456.71
## 8 18818.71 0 24276.71
## 9 18517.14 0 18818.71
## 10 15475.29 0 18517.14
## 11 16365.29 0 15475.29
## 12 12621.29 0 16365.29
## 13 12679.86 0 12621.29
## 14 13440.71 0 12679.86
## 15 15382.86 0 13440.71
## 16 13459.71 0 15382.86
## 17 14644.14 0 13459.71
## 18 13927.00 0 14644.14
## 19 22034.57 0 13927.00
## 20 20986.00 0 22034.57
## 21 20390.57 0 20986.00
## 22 22554.14 0 20390.57
## 23 21782.57 0 22554.14
## 24 22529.57 0 21782.57
## 25 24642.71 0 22529.57
## 26 17692.29 0 24642.71
## 27 19668.29 0 17692.29
## 28 28640.00 0 19668.29
## 29 28706.00 0 28640.00
## 30 28331.57 0 28706.00
## 31 25617.86 0 28331.57
## 32 27223.29 0 25617.86
## 33 31622.57 0 27223.29
## 34 32021.43 0 31622.57
## 35 33634.57 0 32021.43
## 36 30784.86 0 33634.57
## 37 34770.57 0 30784.86
## 38 38443.00 1 34770.57
## 39 35073.00 1 38443.00
## 40 31422.29 1 35073.00
## 41 30103.29 1 31422.29
## 42 19319.29 1 30103.29
## 43 27926.29 1 19319.29
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## 276 63044.86 2 69999.29
## 277 63285.29 2 63044.86
## 278 61395.43 2 63285.29
## 279 67969.43 2 61395.43
## 280 60792.57 2 67969.43
## 281 56859.14 2 60792.57
## 282 44899.43 2 56859.14
## 283 43064.14 2 44899.43
## 284 62790.29 2 43064.14
## 285 69120.71 2 62790.29
## 286 69589.43 2 69120.71
## 287 66633.29 2 69589.43
## 288 65588.57 2 66633.29
## 289 70168.57 2 65588.57
## 290 74644.71 2 70168.57
## 291 52891.00 2 74644.71
## 292 41560.57 2 52891.00
## 293 34704.86 2 41560.57
## 294 46520.00 2 34704.86
## 295 50231.00 2 46520.00
## 296 49216.71 2 50231.00
## 297 76914.86 2 49216.71
## 298 83720.71 2 76914.86
## 299 84485.00 2 83720.71
## 300 89765.00 2 84485.00
## 301 87702.86 2 89765.00
## 302 82013.86 2 87702.86
## 303 85982.43 2 82013.86
## 304 57248.43 2 85982.43
## 305 52968.43 2 57248.43
## 306 52601.86 2 52968.43
## 307 45493.29 2 52601.86
## 308 42298.86 2 45493.29
## 309 46423.71 2 42298.86
## 310 37898.00 2 46423.71
## 311 36435.14 2 37898.00
## 312 30209.57 2 36435.14
## 313 34541.86 2 30209.57
## 314 33604.71 2 34541.86
## 315 37990.71 2 33604.71
## 316 35683.43 2 37990.71
## 317 65201.86 2 35683.43
## 318 62730.57 2 65201.86
## 319 64589.14 2 62730.57
## 320 73744.86 2 64589.14
## 321 76477.71 2 73744.86
## 322 105647.43 2 76477.71
## 323 103790.29 2 105647.43
## 324 76122.29 2 103790.29
## 325 74746.14 2 76122.29
## 326 72865.71 2 74746.14
## 327 63652.57 2 72865.71
## 328 60358.29 2 63652.57
## 329 25957.14 2 60358.29
## 330 30178.43 2 25957.14
## 331 30681.57 2 30178.43
## 332 33337.29 2 30681.57
## 333 32582.71 2 33337.29
## 334 39184.43 2 32582.71
## 335 40415.71 2 39184.43
## 336 34975.43 2 40415.71
## 337 34076.14 2 34975.43
## 338 34221.14 2 34076.14
## 339 28862.57 2 34221.14
## 340 35729.86 2 28862.57
## 341 36489.29 2 35729.86
## 342 36785.14 2 36489.29
## 343 37787.71 2 36785.14
## 344 39832.14 2 37787.71
## 345 41917.86 2 39832.14
## 346 41633.57 2 41917.86
## 347 33557.00 2 41633.57
## 348 22759.57 2 33557.00
## 349 28877.86 2 22759.57
## 350 27574.00 2 28877.86
## 351 27104.71 2 27574.00
## 352 24376.14 2 27104.71
## 353 29732.29 2 24376.14
## 354 34030.00 2 29732.29
## 355 39139.71 2 34030.00
## 356 37066.57 2 39139.71
## 357 38509.29 2 37066.57
## 358 40957.29 2 38509.29
## 359 49423.00 2 40957.29
## 360 50053.29 2 49423.00
## 361 50284.14 2 50053.29
## 362 53103.86 2 50284.14
## 363 50223.00 2 53103.86
## 364 49587.14 2 50223.00
## 365 41167.71 2 49587.14
## 366 37958.71 2 41167.71
## 367 33582.29 2 37958.71
## 368 31039.43 2 33582.29
## 369 26526.57 2 31039.43
## 370 34869.43 2 26526.57
## 371 37487.43 2 34869.43
## 372 46514.43 2 37487.43
## 373 39613.43 2 46514.43
## 374 38980.57 2 39613.43
## 375 37306.14 2 38980.57
## 376 36771.29 2 37306.14
## 377 26317.00 2 36771.29
## 378 31580.71 2 26317.00
## 379 23626.57 2 31580.71
## 380 33035.71 2 23626.57
## 381 44864.57 2 33035.71
## 382 48946.14 2 44864.57
## 383 46969.57 2 48946.14
## 384 49249.57 2 46969.57
## 385 56370.14 2 49249.57
## 386 67228.71 2 56370.14
## 387 59457.29 2 67228.71
## 388 53124.71 2 59457.29
## 389 52814.14 2 53124.71
## 390 61262.00 2 52814.14
## 391 61861.14 2 61262.00
## 392 71784.71 2 61861.14
## 393 59313.29 2 71784.71
## 394 61107.00 2 59313.29
## 395 60603.43 2 61107.00
## 396 60012.57 2 60603.43
## 397 58280.43 2 60012.57
## 398 56862.71 2 58280.43
## 399 41704.43 2 56862.71
## 400 51533.00 2 41704.43
## 401 50388.71 2 51533.00
## 402 49205.29 2 50388.71
## 403 56533.29 2 49205.29
## 404 47996.14 2 56533.29
## 405 47207.57 2 47996.14
## 406 45292.00 2 47207.57
## 407 40343.43 2 45292.00
## 408 39004.86 2 40343.43
## 409 36788.43 2 39004.86
## 410 30027.57 2 36788.43
## 411 39040.14 2 30027.57
## 412 42390.14 2 39040.14
## 413 36291.14 2 42390.14
## 414 30668.29 2 36291.14
## 415 47693.00 2 30668.29
## 416 52094.43 2 47693.00
## 417 56592.57 2 52094.43
## 418 47971.43 2 56592.57
## 419 43762.43 2 47971.43
## 420 42246.71 2 43762.43
## 421 46352.43 2 42246.71
## 422 33094.86 2 46352.43
## 423 32784.86 2 33094.86
## 424 26212.43 2 32784.86
## 425 32611.57 2 26212.43
## 426 42144.86 2 32611.57
## 427 50034.86 2 42144.86
## 428 46332.00 2 50034.86
## 429 42976.29 2 46332.00
## 430 39456.29 2 42976.29
## 431 39328.29 2 39456.29
## 432 35296.14 2 39328.29
## 433 30875.43 2 35296.14
## 434 27709.00 2 30875.43
## 435 29513.29 2 27709.00
## 436 31630.43 2 29513.29
## 437 29346.14 2 31630.43
## 438 34916.86 2 29346.14
## 439 42020.86 2 34916.86
## 440 38303.00 2 42020.86
## 441 37966.43 2 38303.00
## 442 41408.14 2 37966.43
## 443 38988.14 2 41408.14
## 444 43555.29 2 38988.14
## 445 38114.00 2 43555.29
## 446 27847.86 2 38114.00
## 447 26517.00 2 27847.86
## 448 39518.29 2 26517.00
## 449 39153.71 2 39518.29
## 450 45623.14 2 39153.71
## 451 40627.43 2 45623.14
## 452 41027.71 2 40627.43
## 453 42882.86 2 41027.71
## 454 47139.43 2 42882.86
## 455 35547.57 2 47139.43
## 456 41099.00 2 35547.57
## 457 35859.57 2 41099.00
## 458 44524.57 2 35859.57
## 459 48554.29 2 44524.57
## 460 51554.29 2 48554.29
## 461 47810.29 2 51554.29
## 462 50490.00 2 47810.29
## 463 50720.71 2 50490.00
## 464 52720.71 2 50720.71
## 465 52145.57 2 52720.71
## 466 55515.57 2 52145.57
## 467 52457.00 2 55515.57
## 468 58239.57 2 52457.00
## 469 50523.57 2 58239.57
## 470 47788.57 2 50523.57
## 471 46170.00 2 47788.57
## 472 42305.57 2 46170.00
## 473 46605.57 2 42305.57
## 474 55149.57 2 46605.57
## 475 48769.57 2 55149.57
## 476 50719.43 2 48769.57
## 477 44753.71 2 50719.43
## 478 42898.00 2 44753.71
## 479 46141.14 2 42898.00
## 480 34022.57 2 46141.14
## 481 26651.86 2 34022.57
## 482 28791.86 2 26651.86
## 483 31879.00 2 28791.86
## 484 33584.71 2 31879.00
## 485 34690.43 2 33584.71
## 486 27410.43 2 34690.43
## 487 41755.00 2 27410.43
## 488 49379.57 2 41755.00
## 489 57198.86 2 49379.57
## 490 51144.57 2 57198.86
## 491 56677.43 2 51144.57
## 492 65416.43 2 56677.43
## 493 69779.71 2 65416.43
## 494 54046.00 2 69779.71
## 495 43259.57 2 54046.00
## 496 40998.57 2 43259.57
## 497 41368.57 2 40998.57
## 498 42274.29 2 41368.57
## 499 35962.71 2 42274.29
## 500 38709.00 2 35962.71
## 501 44778.14 2 38709.00
## 502 51282.43 2 44778.14
## 503 52094.86 2 51282.43
## 504 52221.43 2 52094.86
## 505 45011.43 2 52221.43
## 506 46545.43 2 45011.43
## 507 42263.00 2 46545.43
## 508 45417.43 2 42263.00
## 509 45034.71 2 45417.43
## 510 37840.57 2 45034.71
## 511 39135.43 2 37840.57
## 512 38191.14 2 39135.43
## 513 39456.86 2 38191.14
## 514 42479.14 2 39456.86
## 515 34282.57 2 42479.14
## 516 28878.43 2 34282.57
## 517 56227.14 2 28878.43
## 518 65569.43 2 56227.14
## 519 69751.29 2 65569.43
## 520 62171.71 2 69751.29
## 521 63705.14 2 62171.71
## 522 79257.86 2 63705.14
## 523 87244.71 2 79257.86
## 524 58568.00 2 87244.71
## 525 52695.29 2 58568.00
## 526 48911.00 2 52695.29
## 527 53924.00 2 48911.00
## 528 53358.86 2 53924.00
## 529 42121.14 2 53358.86
## 530 47835.71 2 42121.14
## 531 62329.29 2 47835.71
## 532 56056.86 2 62329.29
## 533 59946.43 2 56056.86
## 534 64511.57 2 59946.43
## 535 61137.43 2 64511.57
## 536 55448.71 2 61137.43
## 537 47964.43 2 55448.71
## 538 46425.71 2 47964.43
## 539 55512.00 2 46425.71
## 540 55226.29 2 55512.00
## 541 46709.14 2 55226.29
## 542 49254.71 2 46709.14
## 543 49056.29 2 49254.71
## 544 49850.57 2 49056.29
## 545 39145.71 2 49850.57
## 546 29799.43 2 39145.71
## 547 34769.86 2 29799.43
## 548 44061.57 2 34769.86
## 549 43829.14 2 44061.57
## 550 45782.00 2 43829.14
## 551 38924.57 2 45782.00
## 552 49242.43 2 38924.57
## 553 50565.00 2 49242.43
## 554 38864.43 2 50565.00
## 555 49786.71 2 38864.43
## 556 58787.86 2 49786.71
## 557 58060.86 2 58787.86
## 558 62179.43 2 58060.86
## 559 57333.86 2 62179.43
## 560 70797.00 2 57333.86
## 561 89901.71 2 70797.00
## 562 78558.14 2 89901.71
## 563 65466.00 2 78558.14
## 564 70525.00 2 65466.00
## 565 68377.86 2 70525.00
## 566 69736.29 2 68377.86
## 567 60085.86 2 69736.29
## 568 41757.00 2 60085.86
## 569 49780.29 2 41757.00
## 570 56540.29 2 49780.29
## 571 57894.29 2 56540.29
## 572 60270.29 2 57894.29
## 573 61011.00 2 60270.29
## 574 57721.43 2 61011.00
## 575 71741.00 2 57721.43
## 576 59576.00 2 71741.00
## 577 52390.29 2 59576.00
## 578 61092.29 2 52390.29
## 579 62814.00 2 61092.29
## 580 54908.29 2 62814.00
## 581 62082.00 2 54908.29
## 582 57017.71 2 62082.00
## 583 53634.43 2 57017.71
## 584 69169.00 2 53634.43
## 585 52488.14 2 69169.00
## 586 60895.57 2 52488.14
## 587 59856.57 2 60895.57
## 588 52670.00 2 59856.57
## 589 51874.57 2 52670.00
## 590 52190.57 2 51874.57
## 591 41562.43 2 52190.57
## 592 44764.14 2 41562.43
## 593 38612.71 2 44764.14
## 594 43473.14 2 38612.71
## 595 53505.00 2 43473.14
## 596 45870.86 2 53505.00
## 597 52578.00 2 45870.86
## 598 55300.00 2 52578.00
## 599 61789.71 2 55300.00
## 600 57391.71 2 61789.71
## 601 62902.29 2 57391.71
## 602 53250.43 2 62902.29
## 603 55402.57 2 53250.43
## 604 56291.29 2 55402.57
## 605 58933.57 2 56291.29
##
## $alpha
## [1] 0.05
##
## $itsa.result
## [1] "Significant variation between time periods with chosen alpha"
##
## $group.means
## interrupt_var count mean s.d.
## 1 0 37 22066.04 6308.636
## 2 1 120 29463.10 9187.258
## 3 2 448 50704.31 15095.128
##
## $dependent
## [1] 19269.29 24139.00 23816.14 26510.14 23456.71 24276.71 18818.71
## [8] 18517.14 15475.29 16365.29 12621.29 12679.86 13440.71 15382.86
## [15] 13459.71 14644.14 13927.00 22034.57 20986.00 20390.57 22554.14
## [22] 21782.57 22529.57 24642.71 17692.29 19668.29 28640.00 28706.00
## [29] 28331.57 25617.86 27223.29 31622.57 32021.43 33634.57 30784.86
## [36] 34770.57 38443.00 35073.00 31422.29 30103.29 19319.29 27926.29
## [43] 30715.43 31962.29 39790.14 39211.57 44548.57 49398.00 41039.00
## [50] 34821.29 29123.57 21275.71 28476.14 24561.86 20323.57 25370.00
## [57] 26811.86 27151.86 27623.29 22896.57 41889.29 44000.14 38558.00
## [64] 43373.86 49001.00 61213.29 58939.57 42046.86 39191.71 42646.43
## [71] 36121.57 30915.57 20273.43 23938.29 19274.29 21662.29 15819.00
## [78] 18126.14 17240.71 16127.71 13917.14 15379.86 19510.14 24567.29
## [85] 25700.43 25729.00 26435.00 31157.14 29818.43 30962.43 28746.71
## [92] 27830.71 28252.14 28717.57 21365.43 24816.86 16838.57 15529.14
## [99] 13286.29 13629.43 14404.86 19524.86 18475.71 22495.00 22254.57
## [106] 24173.29 27466.43 24602.43 20531.14 20846.43 23875.71 36312.71
## [113] 34244.00 36347.43 39779.71 42018.71 39372.57 33444.00 29255.86
## [120] 31640.14 29671.14 31023.71 39723.43 39314.14 38239.86 34649.43
## [127] 36688.43 42867.57 42226.86 32155.14 33603.00 37254.43 33145.57
## [134] 31299.43 30252.00 26310.71 27929.86 27666.14 25017.57 27335.00
## [141] 25760.71 18436.86 21906.00 19418.14 22826.14 23444.29 25264.86
## [148] 25473.29 27366.86 28855.86 32326.86 27141.43 26297.71 23499.14
## [155] 30246.29 39931.86 38020.43 35004.00 40750.86 42363.29 46273.57
## [162] 41083.29 35711.29 41921.71 60583.29 63115.57 61300.14 57666.43
## [169] 55834.00 58927.71 57810.57 48987.14 52219.29 56503.57 56545.00
## [176] 64705.57 53833.29 50114.00 39592.43 29907.29 33923.29 45489.00
## [183] 44866.29 51680.57 58257.00 70600.57 76648.00 69430.14 69651.57
## [190] 77745.14 72795.86 67670.71 55357.86 48524.00 50154.43 45111.57
## [197] 36147.00 43501.57 41472.43 41058.00 41605.57 49382.86 59558.57
## [204] 59134.57 61109.00 63004.43 67344.29 78180.86 69117.86 55597.57
## [211] 49426.14 39119.43 35636.86 39201.14 27777.00 47207.00 55587.29
## [218] 56619.71 82679.86 91259.57 93552.71 102242.71 91884.00 85013.86
## [225] 84535.29 80700.43 79740.57 85163.14 86724.86 80355.00 74875.14
## [232] 81347.00 66062.43 56946.43 47732.14 38129.71 42928.29 45392.57
## [239] 37895.43 30660.29 42430.86 35845.14 40350.43 31494.71 30013.29
## [246] 34197.57 37430.14 26932.43 33729.86 38081.43 44028.00 47139.71
## [253] 46558.86 58350.57 78380.00 78168.29 70510.86 72207.14 67881.00
## [260] 69536.43 62390.71 50113.14 45565.57 45805.29 41348.57 51426.86
## [267] 47160.57 51907.43 49751.43 54407.43 54746.29 61634.57 58926.43
## [274] 69999.29 63044.86 63285.29 61395.43 67969.43 60792.57 56859.14
## [281] 44899.43 43064.14 62790.29 69120.71 69589.43 66633.29 65588.57
## [288] 70168.57 74644.71 52891.00 41560.57 34704.86 46520.00 50231.00
## [295] 49216.71 76914.86 83720.71 84485.00 89765.00 87702.86 82013.86
## [302] 85982.43 57248.43 52968.43 52601.86 45493.29 42298.86 46423.71
## [309] 37898.00 36435.14 30209.57 34541.86 33604.71 37990.71 35683.43
## [316] 65201.86 62730.57 64589.14 73744.86 76477.71 105647.43 103790.29
## [323] 76122.29 74746.14 72865.71 63652.57 60358.29 25957.14 30178.43
## [330] 30681.57 33337.29 32582.71 39184.43 40415.71 34975.43 34076.14
## [337] 34221.14 28862.57 35729.86 36489.29 36785.14 37787.71 39832.14
## [344] 41917.86 41633.57 33557.00 22759.57 28877.86 27574.00 27104.71
## [351] 24376.14 29732.29 34030.00 39139.71 37066.57 38509.29 40957.29
## [358] 49423.00 50053.29 50284.14 53103.86 50223.00 49587.14 41167.71
## [365] 37958.71 33582.29 31039.43 26526.57 34869.43 37487.43 46514.43
## [372] 39613.43 38980.57 37306.14 36771.29 26317.00 31580.71 23626.57
## [379] 33035.71 44864.57 48946.14 46969.57 49249.57 56370.14 67228.71
## [386] 59457.29 53124.71 52814.14 61262.00 61861.14 71784.71 59313.29
## [393] 61107.00 60603.43 60012.57 58280.43 56862.71 41704.43 51533.00
## [400] 50388.71 49205.29 56533.29 47996.14 47207.57 45292.00 40343.43
## [407] 39004.86 36788.43 30027.57 39040.14 42390.14 36291.14 30668.29
## [414] 47693.00 52094.43 56592.57 47971.43 43762.43 42246.71 46352.43
## [421] 33094.86 32784.86 26212.43 32611.57 42144.86 50034.86 46332.00
## [428] 42976.29 39456.29 39328.29 35296.14 30875.43 27709.00 29513.29
## [435] 31630.43 29346.14 34916.86 42020.86 38303.00 37966.43 41408.14
## [442] 38988.14 43555.29 38114.00 27847.86 26517.00 39518.29 39153.71
## [449] 45623.14 40627.43 41027.71 42882.86 47139.43 35547.57 41099.00
## [456] 35859.57 44524.57 48554.29 51554.29 47810.29 50490.00 50720.71
## [463] 52720.71 52145.57 55515.57 52457.00 58239.57 50523.57 47788.57
## [470] 46170.00 42305.57 46605.57 55149.57 48769.57 50719.43 44753.71
## [477] 42898.00 46141.14 34022.57 26651.86 28791.86 31879.00 33584.71
## [484] 34690.43 27410.43 41755.00 49379.57 57198.86 51144.57 56677.43
## [491] 65416.43 69779.71 54046.00 43259.57 40998.57 41368.57 42274.29
## [498] 35962.71 38709.00 44778.14 51282.43 52094.86 52221.43 45011.43
## [505] 46545.43 42263.00 45417.43 45034.71 37840.57 39135.43 38191.14
## [512] 39456.86 42479.14 34282.57 28878.43 56227.14 65569.43 69751.29
## [519] 62171.71 63705.14 79257.86 87244.71 58568.00 52695.29 48911.00
## [526] 53924.00 53358.86 42121.14 47835.71 62329.29 56056.86 59946.43
## [533] 64511.57 61137.43 55448.71 47964.43 46425.71 55512.00 55226.29
## [540] 46709.14 49254.71 49056.29 49850.57 39145.71 29799.43 34769.86
## [547] 44061.57 43829.14 45782.00 38924.57 49242.43 50565.00 38864.43
## [554] 49786.71 58787.86 58060.86 62179.43 57333.86 70797.00 89901.71
## [561] 78558.14 65466.00 70525.00 68377.86 69736.29 60085.86 41757.00
## [568] 49780.29 56540.29 57894.29 60270.29 61011.00 57721.43 71741.00
## [575] 59576.00 52390.29 61092.29 62814.00 54908.29 62082.00 57017.71
## [582] 53634.43 69169.00 52488.14 60895.57 59856.57 52670.00 51874.57
## [589] 52190.57 41562.43 44764.14 38612.71 43473.14 53505.00 45870.86
## [596] 52578.00 55300.00 61789.71 57391.71 62902.29 53250.43 55402.57
## [603] 56291.29 58933.57
##
## $interrupt_var
## [1] 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
## [38] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [75] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [112] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [149] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [186] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [223] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [260] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [297] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [334] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [371] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [408] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [445] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [482] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [519] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [556] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [593] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## Levels: 0 1 2
##
## $residuals
## 2 3 4 5 6 7
## 1961.72651 4015.87849 -513.72369 2459.17926 -2921.48464 536.24618
## 8 9 10 11 12 13
## -5630.11795 -1216.74861 -3998.09065 -480.35591 -4993.19015 -1700.33176
## 14 15 16 17 18 19
## -990.07205 294.79774 -3306.08211 -460.32986 -2200.65164 6526.42989
## 20 21 22 23 24 25
## -1525.93763 -1215.54865 1462.38893 -1178.20250 235.32619 1703.16660
## 26 27 28 29 30 31
## -7072.71880 907.46936 8172.19887 487.90546 56.46221 -2333.79870
## 32 33 34 35 36 37
## 1615.89556 4628.31784 1226.81376 2495.40041 -1747.84136 4699.62339
## 38 39 40 41 42 43
## 4357.83947 -2184.61989 -2924.13037 -1089.42908 -10733.99946 7188.85272
## 44 45 46 47 48 49
## 2542.76378 1380.19561 8130.94436 790.21047 6627.01443 6866.02914
## 50 51 52 53 54 55
## -5682.19191 -4678.91135 -5005.39908 -7931.23618 6048.63203 -4085.80653
## 56 57 58 59 60 61
## -4942.70249 3765.00606 847.46199 -58.09884 119.61778 -5014.34418
## 62 63 64 65 66 67
## 18061.58335 3765.41908 -3500.20607 6016.89350 7483.81629 14835.04571
## 68 69 70 71 72 73
## 2011.64220 -12916.90422 -1179.12894 4742.02534 -4767.21679 -4336.66220
## 74 75 76 77 78 79
## -10481.55668 2376.60812 -5453.31060 963.72636 -6942.45392 412.46212
## 80 81 82 83 84 85
## -2466.01187 -2814.12670 -4063.22340 -690.88776 2175.81949 3664.97912
## 86 87 88 89 90 91
## 429.46514 -520.83874 160.47958 4272.73820 -1145.24026 1155.21972
## 92 93 94 95 96 97
## -2048.74892 -1050.68486 162.03827 263.41211 -7490.79527 2311.84585
## 98 99 100 101 102 103
## -8647.98645 -3065.30353 -4176.99941 -1896.34491 -1417.34328 3032.79601
## 104 105 106 107 108 109
## -2439.30337 2486.29352 -1226.22997 900.18063 2535.82547 -3172.98463
## 110 111 112 113 114 115
## -4770.17904 -937.87775 1819.04565 11639.17085 -1173.35405 2717.15135
## 116 117 118 119 120 121
## 4332.37200 3606.36214 -973.96034 -4616.63825 -3683.33312 2318.91622
## 122 123 124 125 126 127
## -1709.76973 1343.73947 8875.02317 950.41361 229.69292 -2432.70459
## 128 129 130 131 132 133
## 2707.91835 7125.65333 1147.03275 -8371.19493 1777.20019 4177.88477
## 134 135 136 137 138 139
## -3085.29069 -1381.96158 -834.58359 -3871.03902 1152.81778 -509.60715
## 140 141 142 143 144 145
## -2930.36670 1675.05334 -1901.16320 -7865.05994 1930.86060 -3553.84577
## 146 147 148 149 150 151
## 2003.31126 -322.57632 964.00703 -400.28086 1313.23773 1166.45959
## 152 153 154 155 156 157
## 3351.17399 -4832.70812 -1196.94484 -3266.66635 5898.04678 9755.04017
## 158 159 160 161 162 163
## -3414.64512 -4779.86949 3572.75570 220.71175 2738.08702 -5830.13301
## 164 165 166 167 168 169
## -6718.45956 4132.61793 17429.25663 3840.58157 -162.38403 -2227.82456
## 170 171 172 173 174 175
## -921.23744 3755.43620 -34.23865 -7892.61365 2961.72471 4453.89571
## 176 177 178 179 180 181
## 794.30681 8919.08981 -9002.77650 -3329.94365 -10638.57777 -11234.56965
## 182 183 184 185 186 187
## 1148.02523 9244.48299 -1369.37416 5982.84871 6672.69730 13335.16372
## 188 189 190 191 192 193
## 8719.49077 -3722.49014 2734.14710 10636.43553 -1304.55225 -2154.21160
## 194 195 196 197 198 199
## -10039.66952 -6236.95794 1296.95756 -5154.35949 -9762.61492 5336.07950
## 200 201 202 203 204 205
## -3046.37385 -1707.90971 -802.33056 6501.93081 9959.16920 744.78992
## 206 207 208 209 210 211
## 3085.49458 3275.29586 5977.77055 13065.31864 -5358.94783 -11050.08217
## 212 213 214 215 216 217
## -5541.89435 -10517.36640 -5096.39306 1476.34227 -13026.83980 16272.00536
## 218 219 220 221 222 223
## 7867.51660 1660.56248 26828.83294 12896.26618 7777.74824 14486.79684
## 224 225 226 227 228 229
## -3378.84952 -1300.52695 4155.73427 734.29522 3087.21277 9338.96514
## 230 231 232 233 234 235
## 6216.34394 -1502.61367 -1479.81433 9725.86506 -11149.47644 -7061.76649
## 236 237 238 239 240 241
## -8401.11633 -10043.70405 3050.00881 1369.00686 -8256.93064 -9015.60144
## 242 243 244 245 246 247
## 9005.11106 -7748.71371 2445.69856 -10301.94597 -4133.28874 1330.74193
## 248 249 250 251 252 253
## 948.68175 -12341.51747 3524.45288 2004.00652 4191.43513 2166.15197
## 254 255 256 257 258 259
## -1102.78662 11190.70616 21033.75980 3519.44946 -3955.08789 4356.13409
## 260 261 262 263 264 265
## -1435.35993 3957.24477 -4618.52589 -10723.20989 -4664.69446 -496.52105
## 266 267 268 269 270 271
## -5160.31461 8767.94250 -4204.55798 4227.76718 -2028.84664 4489.63271
## 272 273 274 275 276 277
## 806.36376 7401.92479 -1256.72359 12155.58631 -4364.22620 1883.84597
## 278 279 280 281 282 283
## -213.70748 7992.86205 -4863.00217 -2596.64028 -11158.42809 -2662.21061
## 284 285 286 287 288 289
## 18649.35977 7939.18829 2939.30680 -421.73897 1087.23646 6569.72198
## 290 291 292 293 294 295
## 7089.39201 -18531.07721 -11069.37052 -8137.19554 9600.31572 3104.70181
## 296 297 298 299 300 301
## -1115.36353 27458.97887 10337.55443 5222.54126 9842.30640 3218.98963
## 302 303 304 305 306 307
## -688.61033 8194.45322 -23967.83172 -3425.71594 -94.97215 -6886.87766
## 308 309 310 311 312 313
## -3940.50498 2943.88706 -9145.12094 -3242.96565 -8204.83521 1505.46452
## 314 315 316 317 318 319
## -3174.16103 2021.39798 -4074.77198 27436.82542 -534.21152 3459.20157
## 320 321 322 323 324 325
## 11009.37276 5832.98649 32641.89837 5586.24415 -20477.44684 2047.65272
## 326 327 328 329 330 331
## 1356.01712 -6232.70116 -1568.13330 -33123.47879 815.53335 -2327.91817
## 332 333 334 335 336 337
## -106.84821 -3155.58152 4097.97585 -373.68673 -6877.62932 -3077.27691
## 338 339 340 341 342 343
## -2155.42112 -7639.25206 3857.08218 -1315.85373 -1676.03556 -929.04290
## 344 345 346 347 348 349
## 249.30562 568.92251 -1517.12563 -9348.11437 -13168.52648 2277.21181
## 350 351 352 353 354 355
## -4311.97966 -3654.91704 -5978.09192 1735.15109 1405.91479 2803.01122
## 356 357 358 359 360 361
## -3684.20276 -450.58599 751.11273 7102.10092 419.20573 105.58508
## 362 363 364 365 366 367
## 2725.87141 -2590.82044 -738.02408 -8608.16193 -4543.96534 -6148.27136
## 368 369 370 371 372 373
## -4910.51262 -7226.70050 5014.62753 425.57783 7190.99576 -7508.05669
## 374 375 376 377 378 379
## -2179.42497 -3307.15439 -2395.54185 -12387.78657 1906.95334 -10594.29488
## 380 381 382 383 384 385
## 5686.10346 9386.79072 3249.90104 -2252.57137 1734.90705 6885.88065
## 386 387 388 389 390 391
## 11593.28453 -5558.41540 -5177.57068 -17.69520 8698.45177 1999.83977
## 392 393 394 395 396 397
## 11405.83643 -9638.15562 2929.11069 876.02358 720.18099 -501.54478
## 398 399 400 401 402 403
## -422.93240 -14356.51330 8566.67507 -1068.10755 -1263.03495 7087.28011
## 404 405 406 407 408 409
## -7780.21928 -1193.90560 -2428.26275 -5722.05114 -2785.75610 -3845.84810
## 410 411 412 413 414 415
## -8692.02415 6160.97252 1725.38431 -7267.54232 -7621.72528 14260.34305
## 416 417 418 419 420 421
## 3954.82413 4650.75464 -7856.14804 -4617.69881 -2497.43184 2917.64541
## 422 423 424 425 426 427
## -13886.68301 -2744.01464 -9048.64701 3028.14542 7033.47593 6688.06416
## 428 429 430 431 432 433
## -3830.63810 -3987.60704 -4608.74407 -1695.96146 -5617.53040 -6555.04302
## 434 435 436 437 438 439
## -5902.59911 -1362.96653 -804.47158 -4917.66957 2626.34480 4918.03482
## 440 441 442 443 444 445
## -4936.67450 -2061.54271 1670.92173 -3722.23308 2935.44782 -6451.20397
## 446 447 448 449 450 451
## -12016.84484 -4479.20520 9671.75303 -1924.09213 4860.27464 -5724.11177
## 452 453 454 455 456 457
## -1008.23483 501.11773 3155.10787 -12113.82552 3451.32965 -6583.74877
## 458 459 460 461 462 463
## 6607.37717 3151.75585 2670.65212 -3664.92397 2249.07728 164.89707
## 464 465 466 467 468 469
## 1965.59253 -337.26772 3529.57444 -2440.20080 5984.54416 -6726.78046
## 470 471 472 473 474 475
## -2796.24676 -2052.16465 -4518.37622 3119.94401 7949.35162 -5811.45709
## 476 477 478 479 480 481
## 1649.81854 -6000.29679 -2702.47691 2143.74087 -12776.44772 -9678.42869
## 482 483 484 485 486 487
## -1171.17306 67.31219 -893.82873 -1261.61056 -9496.79146 11136.67128
## 488 489 490 491 492 493
## 6369.55993 7602.29331 -5206.75037 5556.15414 9515.54738 6329.57194
## 494 495 496 497 498 499
## -13173.40465 -10368.12731 -3311.17718 -987.99267 -401.90610 -7495.88669
## 500 501 502 503 504 505
## 702.70489 4399.44495 5660.84882 854.49362 279.24156 -7040.09827
## 506 507 508 509 510 511
## 722.32293 -4885.26488 1968.57685 -1139.11799 -8002.64978 -493.06977
## 512 513 514 515 516 517
## -2555.92908 -474.48537 1454.40205 -9352.99718 -7676.46052 24340.66957
## 518 519 520 521 522 523
## 10057.53061 6168.97299 -5023.13210 3057.97517 17286.02385 11837.53350
## 524 525 526 527 528 529
## -23738.69679 -4838.78205 -3549.87246 4732.21567 -163.45083 -10912.96155
## 530 531 532 533 534 535
## 4509.40709 14066.39630 -4726.43000 4581.63340 5786.73616 -1531.04506
## 536 537 538 539 540 541
## -4304.97669 -6875.01710 -1948.36609 8467.15135 332.17013 -7938.15596
## 542 543 544 545 546 547
## 1965.02340 -432.41919 533.28077 -10857.72700 -10956.52877 2087.76999
## 548 549 550 551 552 553
## 7085.73633 -1173.42043 980.22216 -7564.19904 8677.50741 1086.90821
## 554 555 556 557 558 559
## -11756.17804 9273.74805 8839.57941 336.86387 5083.46058 -3319.97460
## 560 561 562 563 564 565
## 14329.05728 21803.51852 -6043.82649 -9336.72651 7032.03495 514.63095
## 566 567 568 569 570 571
## 3727.88755 -7096.03136 -17088.28186 6768.54650 6597.56136 2111.87657
## 572 573 574 575 576 577
## 3318.21190 2006.39792 -1923.04599 14938.25033 -9337.67837 -6014.55162
## 578 579 580 581 582 583
## 8894.89016 3099.30607 -6293.72607 7709.40825 -3551.95294 -2560.41140
## 584 585 586 587 588 589
## 15896.84082 -14203.69095 8613.64113 311.81084 -5977.21140 -564.45774
## 590 591 592 593 594 595
## 438.68015 -10462.44206 1920.48586 -6996.77144 3177.62220 9010.75585
## 596 597 598 599 600 601
## -7289.49404 6012.46951 2940.44583 7078.73674 -2925.45938 6384.36259
## 602 603 604 605
## -8027.84960 2462.13399 1491.70095 3366.26310
##
## $fitted.values
## 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
## 17307.56 20123.12 24329.87 24050.96 26378.20 23740.47 24448.83 19733.89
## 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
## 19473.38 16845.64 17614.48 14380.19 14430.79 15088.06 16765.80 15104.47
## 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
## 16127.65 15508.14 22511.94 21606.12 21091.75 22960.77 22294.25 22939.55
## 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
## 24765.00 18760.82 20467.80 28218.09 28275.11 27951.66 25607.39 26994.25
## 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
## 30794.61 31139.17 32532.70 30070.95 34085.16 37257.62 34346.42 31192.71
## 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
## 30053.29 20737.43 28172.66 30582.09 31659.20 38421.36 37921.56 42531.97
## 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57
## 46721.19 39500.20 34128.97 29206.95 22427.51 28647.66 25266.27 21604.99
## 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65
## 25964.40 27209.96 27503.67 27910.92 23827.70 40234.72 42058.21 37356.96
## 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73
## 41517.18 46378.24 56927.93 54963.76 40370.84 37904.40 40888.79 35252.23
## 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81
## 30754.99 21561.68 24727.60 20698.56 22761.45 17713.68 19706.73 18941.84
## 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
## 17980.37 16070.74 17334.32 20902.31 25270.96 26249.84 26274.52 26884.40
## 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
## 30963.67 29807.21 30795.46 28881.40 28090.10 28454.16 28856.22 22505.01
## 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105
## 25486.56 18594.45 17463.29 15525.77 15822.20 16492.06 20915.02 20008.71
## 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113
## 23480.80 23273.11 24930.60 27775.41 25301.32 21784.31 22056.67 24673.54
## 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121
## 35417.35 33630.28 35447.34 38412.35 40346.53 38060.64 32939.19 29321.23
## 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129
## 31380.91 29679.97 30848.41 38363.73 38010.16 37082.13 33980.51 35741.92
## 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137
## 41079.82 40526.34 31825.80 33076.54 36230.86 32681.39 31086.58 30181.75
## 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145
## 26777.04 28175.75 27947.94 25659.95 27661.88 26301.92 19975.14 22971.99
## 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153
## 20822.83 23766.86 24300.85 25873.57 26053.62 27689.40 28975.68 31974.14
## 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161
## 27494.66 26765.81 24348.24 30176.82 41435.07 39783.87 37178.10 42142.57
## 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169
## 43535.48 46913.42 42429.75 37789.10 43154.03 59274.99 61462.53 59894.25
## 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177
## 56755.24 55172.28 57844.81 56879.76 49257.56 52049.68 55750.69 55786.48
## 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185
## 62836.06 53443.94 50231.01 41141.86 32775.26 36244.52 46235.66 45697.72
## 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193
## 51584.30 57265.41 67928.51 73152.63 66917.42 67108.71 74100.41 69824.93
## 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201
## 65397.53 54760.96 48857.47 50265.93 45909.61 38165.49 44518.80 42765.91
## 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209
## 42407.90 42880.93 49599.40 58389.78 58023.51 59729.13 61366.52 65115.54
## 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217
## 74476.80 66647.65 54968.04 49636.79 40733.25 37724.80 40803.84 30934.99
## 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225
## 47719.77 54959.15 55851.02 78363.31 85774.97 87755.92 95262.85 86314.38
## 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233
## 80379.55 79966.13 76653.36 75824.18 80508.51 81857.61 76354.96 71621.13
## 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241
## 77211.91 64008.20 56133.26 48173.42 39878.28 44023.56 46152.36 39675.89
## 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249
## 33425.75 43593.86 37904.73 41796.66 34146.57 32866.83 36481.46 39273.95
## 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257
## 30205.40 36077.42 39836.56 44973.56 47661.64 47159.87 57346.24 74648.84
## 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265
## 74465.95 67851.01 69316.36 65579.18 67009.24 60836.35 50230.27 46301.81
## 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273
## 46508.89 42658.91 51365.13 47679.66 51780.28 49917.80 53939.92 54232.65
## 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281
## 60183.15 57843.70 67409.08 61401.44 61609.14 59976.57 65655.57 59455.78
## 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289
## 56057.86 45726.35 44140.93 61181.53 66650.12 67055.02 64501.33 63598.85
## 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297
## 67555.32 71422.08 52629.94 42842.05 36919.68 47126.30 50332.08 49455.88
## 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305
## 73383.16 79262.46 79922.69 84483.87 82702.47 77787.98 81216.26 56394.14
## 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313
## 52696.83 52380.16 46239.36 43479.83 47043.12 39678.11 38414.41 33036.39
## 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321
## 36778.88 35969.32 39758.20 37765.03 63264.78 61129.94 62735.48 70644.73
## 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329
## 73005.53 98204.04 96599.73 72698.49 71509.70 69885.27 61926.42 59080.62
## 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337
## 29362.90 33009.49 33444.13 35738.30 35086.45 40789.40 41853.06 37153.42
## 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345
## 36376.56 36501.82 31872.77 37805.14 38461.18 38716.76 39582.84 41348.93
## 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353
## 43150.70 42905.11 35928.10 26600.65 31885.98 30759.63 30354.23 27997.13
## 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361
## 32624.09 36336.70 40750.77 38959.87 40206.17 42320.90 49634.08 50178.56
## 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369
## 50377.99 52813.82 50325.17 49775.88 42502.68 39730.56 35949.94 33753.27
## 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377
## 29854.80 37061.85 39323.43 47121.49 41160.00 40613.30 39166.83 38704.79
## 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385
## 29673.76 34220.87 27349.61 35477.78 45696.24 49222.14 47514.66 49484.26
## 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393
## 55635.43 65015.70 58302.28 52831.84 52563.55 59861.30 60378.88 68951.44
## 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401
## 58177.89 59727.40 59292.39 58781.97 57285.65 56060.94 42966.32 51456.82
## 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409
## 50468.32 49446.01 55776.36 48401.48 47720.26 46065.48 41790.61 40634.28
## 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417
## 38719.60 32879.17 40664.76 43558.69 38290.01 33432.66 48139.60 51941.82
## 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425
## 55827.58 48380.13 44744.15 43434.78 46981.54 35528.87 35261.08 29583.43
## 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433
## 35111.38 43346.79 50162.64 46963.89 44065.03 41024.25 40913.67 37430.47
## 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441
## 33611.60 30876.25 32434.90 34263.81 32290.51 37102.82 43239.67 40027.97
## 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449
## 39737.22 42710.38 40619.84 44565.20 39864.70 30996.21 29846.53 41077.81
## 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457
## 40762.87 46351.54 42035.95 42381.74 43984.32 47661.40 37647.67 42443.32
## 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465
## 37917.19 45402.53 48883.63 51475.21 48240.92 50555.82 50755.12 52482.84
## 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473
## 51986.00 54897.20 52255.03 57250.35 50584.82 48222.16 46823.95 43485.63
## 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481
## 47200.22 54581.03 49069.61 50754.01 45600.48 43997.40 46799.02 36330.29
## 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489
## 29963.03 31811.69 34478.54 35952.04 36907.22 30618.33 43010.01 49596.56
## 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497
## 56351.32 51121.27 55900.88 63450.14 67219.40 53627.70 44309.75 42356.56
## 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505
## 42676.19 43458.60 38006.30 40378.70 45621.58 51240.36 51942.19 52051.53
## 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513
## 45823.11 47148.26 43448.85 46173.83 45843.22 39628.50 40747.07 39931.34
## 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521
## 41024.74 43635.57 36554.89 31886.47 55511.90 63582.31 67194.85 60647.17
## 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529
## 61971.83 75407.18 82306.70 57534.07 52460.87 49191.78 53522.31 53034.10
## 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537
## 43326.31 48262.89 60783.29 55364.80 58724.84 62668.47 59753.69 54839.45
## 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545
## 48374.08 47044.85 54894.12 54647.30 47289.69 49488.70 49317.29 50003.44
## 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553
## 40755.96 32682.09 36975.84 45002.56 44801.78 46488.77 40564.92 49478.09
## 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561
## 50620.61 40512.97 49948.28 57723.99 57095.97 60653.83 56467.94 68098.20
## 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569
## 84601.97 74802.73 63492.97 67863.23 66008.40 67181.89 58845.28 43011.74
## 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577
## 49942.72 55782.41 56952.07 59004.60 59644.47 56802.75 68913.68 58404.84
## 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585
## 52197.40 59714.69 61202.01 54372.59 60569.67 56194.84 53272.16 66691.83
## 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593
## 52281.93 59544.76 58647.21 52439.03 51751.89 52024.87 42843.66 45609.49
## 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601
## 40295.52 44494.24 53160.35 46565.53 52359.55 54710.98 60317.17 56517.92
## 602 603 604 605
## 61278.28 52940.44 54799.58 55567.31
##
## $shapiro.test
## [1] 0
##
## $levenes.test
## [1] 0
##
## $autcorr
## [1] "No autocorrelation evidence"
##
## $post_sums
## [1] "Post-Est Warning"
##
## $adjr_sq
## [1] 0.8347
##
## $fstat.bootstrap
##
## ORDINARY NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP
##
##
## Call:
## boot::boot(data = x, statistic = f.stat, R = Reps, formula = depvar ~
## ., parallel = parr)
##
##
## Bootstrap Statistics :
## original bias std. error
## t1* 7.139558 0.5468106 3.483767
## t2* 1754.627747 23.2201628 220.699038
## WARNING: All values of t3* are NA
##
## $itsa.plot
##
## $booted.ints
## Parameter Lower CI Median F-value Upper CI
## 1 interrupt_var 2.774202 7.243605 14.1107
## 2 lag_depvar 1434.953813 1769.702268 2156.3676
Ahora con las tendencias descompuestas
require(zoo)
require(scales)
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha2=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha2>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Tina"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Chromecast"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Easy"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Sopapo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="filtro agua"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
gasto=="uber"~"Transporte",
gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Transporte",
gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Pila estufa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Reloj"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Arreglo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
T~gasto)) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,gasto, .drop=F) %>%
#dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=week(parse_date(fecha))) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%#después de diosi. Junio 24, 2019
dplyr::summarise(monto=sum(monto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = fecha, y = monto, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre))) +
#stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
geom_line(size=1) +
facet_grid(gasto~.)+
#geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +
geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
ggtitle( "Figura 6. Gastos Semanales por Gastador e ítem (media)") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
autoplot(forecast::mstl(Gastos_casa$monto, lambda = "auto",iterate=5000000,start =
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03"))))
# scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(0,400,by=30))
msts <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto,seasonal.periods = c(7,30.5,365.25),start =
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03")))
#tbats <- forecast::tbats(msts,use.trend = FALSE)
#plot(tbats, main="Multiple Season Decomposition")
library(bsts)
library(CausalImpact)
ts_week_covid<-
Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::group_by(fecha_week)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto,na.rm=T)/1000,min_day=min(day))%>%
dplyr::ungroup() %>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=dplyr::case_when(min_day>=as.Date("2020-03-17")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
data.frame()
ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total
post_resp<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]
ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]<-NA
ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==0)]
## [1] 98.357 4.780 56.784 50.506 64.483 67.248 49.299 35.786 58.503
## [10] 64.083 20.148 73.476 127.004 81.551 69.599 134.446 58.936 26.145
## [19] 129.927 104.989 130.860 81.893 95.697 64.579 303.471 151.106 49.275
## [28] 76.293 33.940 83.071 119.512 20.942 58.055 71.728 44.090 33.740
## [37] 59.264 77.410 60.831 63.376 48.754 235.284 29.604 115.143 72.419
## [46] 5.980 80.063 149.178 69.918 107.601 72.724 63.203 99.681 130.309
## [55] 195.898 112.066
# Model 1
ssd <- list()
# Local trend, weekly-seasonal #https://qastack.mx/stats/209426/predictions-from-bsts-model-in-r-are-failing-completely - PUSE UN GENERALIZED LOCAL TREND
ssd <- AddLocalLevel(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na) #AddSemilocalLinearTrend #AddLocalLevel
# Add weekly seasonal
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na,nseasons=5, season.duration = 52) #weeks OJO, ESTOS NO SON WEEKS VERDADEROS. PORQUE TENGO MAS DE EUN AÑO
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na, nseasons = 12, season.duration =4) #years
# For example, to add a day-of-week component to data with daily granularity, use model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 1). To add a day-of-week component to data with hourly granularity, set model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 24).
model1d1 <- bsts(ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na,
state.specification = ssd, #A list with elements created by AddLocalLinearTrend, AddSeasonal, and similar functions for adding components of state. See the help page for state.specification.
family ="student", #A Bayesian Analysis of Time-Series Event Count Data. POISSON NO SE PUEDE OCUPAR
niter = 20000,
#burn = 200, #http://finzi.psych.upenn.edu/library/bsts/html/SuggestBurn.html Suggest the size of an MCMC burn in sample as a proportion of the total run.
seed= 2125)
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 0 Mon Jul 31 00:49:20 2023
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## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 2000 Mon Jul 31 00:49:27 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 4000 Mon Jul 31 00:49:33 2023
## =-=-=-=-=
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## =-=-=-=-=
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## =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 12000 Mon Jul 31 00:49:58 2023
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## =-=-=-=-=
#,
# dynamic.regression=T)
#plot(model1d1, main = "Model 1")
#plot(model1d1, "components")
impact2d1 <- CausalImpact(bsts.model = model1d1,
post.period.response = post_resp)
plot(impact2d1)+
xlab("Date")+
ylab("Monto Semanal (En miles)")
burn1d1 <- SuggestBurn(0.1, model1d1)
corpus <- Corpus(VectorSource(Gastos_casa$obs)) # formato de texto
d <- tm_map(corpus, tolower)
d <- tm_map(d, stripWhitespace)
d <- tm_map(d, removePunctuation)
d <- tm_map(d, removeNumbers)
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, stopwords("spanish"))
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, "menos")
tdm <- TermDocumentMatrix(d)
m <- as.matrix(tdm) #lo vuelve una matriz
v <- sort(rowSums(m),decreasing=TRUE) #lo ordena y suma
df <- data.frame(word = names(v),freq=v) # lo nombra y le da formato de data.frame
#findFreqTerms(tdm)
#require(devtools)
#install_github("lchiffon/wordcloud2")
#wordcloud2::wordcloud2(v, size=1.2)
wordcloud(words = df$word, freq = df$freq,
max.words=100, random.order=FALSE, rot.per=0.35,
colors=brewer.pal(8, "Dark2"), main="Figura 7. Nube de Palabras, Observaciones")
fit_month_gasto <- Gastos_casa %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto2= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Tina"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Chromecast"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Easy"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Sopapo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="filtro agua"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
gasto=="uber"~"Otros",
gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Otros",
gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Aspiradora"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Pila estufa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Reloj"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Arreglo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
T~gasto)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=factor(fecha_month, levels=format(seq(from = as.Date("2019-03-03"), to = as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)), by = "1 month"),"%Y-%m")))%>%
dplyr::mutate(gasto2=factor(gasto2, levels=c("Agua", "Comida", "Comunicaciones","Electricidad", "Enceres", "Farmacia", "Gas/Bencina", "Diosi", "donaciones/regalos", "Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa", "VTR", "Netflix", "Otros")))%>%
dplyr::group_by(fecha_month, gasto2, .drop=F)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto, na.rm = T)/1000)%>%
data.frame() %>% na.omit()
fit_month_gasto_23<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2023",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_22<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2022",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_21<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("2021|2022",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame()%>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_20<-
fit_month_gasto %>%
#dplyr::filter()
dplyr::filter(grepl("202",fecha_month)) %>%
#sacar el ultimo mes
dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>%
dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>%
data.frame() %>% ungroup()
fit_month_gasto_23 %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_22,by="gasto2") %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_21,by="gasto2") %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_20,by="gasto2") %>%
janitor::adorn_totals() %>%
#dplyr::select(-3)%>%
knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12, col.names= c("Item","2023","2022","2021","2020"))
| Item | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agua | 2.117667 | 5.410333 | 5.629750 | 6.3588810 |
| Comida | 331.003167 | 310.278417 | 314.087500 | 339.0315000 |
| Comunicaciones | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.0000000 |
| Electricidad | 37.639167 | 47.072333 | 38.297667 | 33.1484286 |
| Enceres | 26.875333 | 20.086417 | 17.443792 | 24.9535000 |
| Farmacia | 3.330000 | 1.831667 | 7.913875 | 9.0084286 |
| Gas/Bencina | 32.671333 | 44.325000 | 28.954333 | 26.1436190 |
| Diosi | 13.981667 | 31.180667 | 41.934250 | 36.5659048 |
| donaciones/regalos | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 7.170083 | 6.5409286 |
| Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa | 0.000000 | 3.944000 | 30.269500 | 19.7492381 |
| VTR | 10.996667 | 25.156667 | 22.121792 | 19.6730476 |
| Netflix | 4.753333 | 7.151583 | 7.090167 | 7.0869286 |
| Otros | 0.000000 | 3.151083 | 1.575542 | 0.9003095 |
| Total | 463.368333 | 499.588167 | 522.488250 | 529.1607143 |
## Joining with `by = join_by(word)`
Saqué la UF proyectada
#options(max.print=5000)
uf18 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2018.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf19 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2019.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf20 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2020.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf21 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2021.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf22 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2022.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
tryCatch(uf23 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2023.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table"),
error = function(c) {
uf23b <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
}
)
tryCatch(uf23 <-uf23[[length(uf23)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1),
error = function(c) {
uf23 <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
}
)
uf_serie<-
bind_rows(
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2018, uf18[[length(uf18)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2019, uf19[[length(uf19)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2020, uf20[[length(uf20)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2021, uf21[[length(uf21)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2022, uf22[[length(uf22)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2023, uf23)
)
uf_serie_corrected<-
uf_serie %>%
dplyr::mutate(month=plyr::revalue(tolower(.[[3]]),c("ene" = 1, "feb"=2, "mar"=3, "abr"=4, "may"=5, "jun"=6, "jul"=7, "ago"=8, "sep"=9, "oct"=10, "nov"=11, "dic"=12))) %>%
dplyr::mutate(value=stringr::str_trim(value), value= sub("\\.","",value),value= as.numeric(sub("\\,",".",value))) %>%
dplyr::mutate(date=paste0(sprintf("%02d", .[[2]])," ",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)),", ",.[[1]]), date3=lubridate::parse_date_time(date,c("%d %m, %Y"),exact=T),date2=date3) %>%
na.omit()#%>% dplyr::filter(is.na(date3))
## Warning: There was 1 warning in `dplyr::mutate()`.
## i In argument: `date3 = lubridate::parse_date_time(date, c("%d %m, %Y"), exact
## = T)`.
## Caused by warning:
## ! 41 failed to parse.
#Day of the month as decimal number (1–31), with a leading space for a single-digit number.
#Abbreviated month name in the current locale on this platform. (Also matches full name on input: in some locales there are no abbreviations of names.)
warning(paste0("number of observations:",nrow(uf_serie_corrected),", min uf: ",min(uf_serie_corrected$value),", min date: ",min(uf_serie_corrected $date3 )))
## Warning: number of observations:2047, min uf: 26799.01, min date: 2018-01-01
#
# uf_proyectado <- readxl::read_excel("uf_proyectado.xlsx") %>% dplyr::arrange(Período) %>%
# dplyr::mutate(Período= as.Date(lubridate::parse_date_time(Período, c("%Y-%m-%d"),exact=T)))
ts_uf_proy<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected$value,
start = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")),
end = as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])), frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
fit_tbats <- forecast::tbats(ts_uf_proy)
fr_fit_tbats<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=298)
La proyección de la UF a 298 días más 2023-08-09 00:04:58 sería de: 35.814 pesos// Percentil 95% más alto proyectado: 38.854,25
Ahora con un modelo ARIMA automático
arima_optimal_uf = forecast::auto.arima(ts_uf_proy)
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq(from = as.Date("2018-01-01"),
to = as.Date("2018-01-01")+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")),
to = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01"))+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)),
tickmode = "array",
tickangle = 90
))
fr_fit_tbats_uf<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298)
dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)) %>%
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_uf)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>%
dplyr::arrange(variable) %>%
knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Tabla. Estimación UF (de aquí a 298 días) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
col.names= c("Item","UF Proyectada (TBATS)","UF Proyectada (ARIMA)"))
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
| Item | UF Proyectada (TBATS) | UF Proyectada (ARIMA) |
|---|---|---|
| Lo.95 | 36023.74 | 36023.33 |
| Lo.80 | 36024.45 | 36024.17 |
| Point.Forecast | 36025.79 | 36025.77 |
| Hi.80 | 37530.25 | 40092.81 |
| Hi.95 | 38471.93 | 42612.10 |
Lo haré en base a 2 cálculos: el gasto semanal y el gasto mensual en base a mis gastos desde marzo de 2019. La primera proyección la hice añadiendo el precio del arriendo mensual y partiendo en 2 (porque es con yo y Tami). No se incluye el último mes.
Gastos_casa_nvo <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec),
col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador",
"link"),skip=1) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))
Gastos_casa_m <-
Gastos_casa_nvo %>% dplyr::group_by(fecha_month)%>%
dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=(sum(monto)+500000)/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
data.frame()
uf_serie_corrected_m <-
uf_serie_corrected %>% dplyr::mutate(ano_m=paste0(anio,"-",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)))) %>% dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(value))/1000,fecha=first(date3))%>%
data.frame() %>%
dplyr::filter(fecha>="2019-02-28")
#Error: Error in standardise_path(file) : object 'enlace_gastos' not found
ts_uf_serie_corrected_m<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected_m$uf[-length(uf_serie_corrected_m$uf)],
start = 1,
end = nrow(uf_serie_corrected_m),
frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
ts_gastos_casa_m<-
ts(data = Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total[-length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total)],
start = 1,
end = nrow(Gastos_casa_m),
frequency = 1,
deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))
fit_tbats_m <- forecast::tbats(ts_gastos_casa_m)
seq_dates<-format(seq(as.Date("2019/03/01"), by = "month", length = dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), "%m\n'%y")
autplo2t<-
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
tickmode = "array"#"array"
))
autplo2t
Ahora asumiendo un modelo ARIMA, e incluimos como regresor al precio de la UF.
paste0("Optimo pero sin regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero sin regresor"
arima_optimal = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m)
arima_optimal
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m
## ARIMA(1,0,0) with non-zero mean
##
## Coefficients:
## ar1 mean
## 0.3585 1000.613
## s.e. 0.1334 33.721
##
## sigma^2 = 26098: log likelihood = -343.75
## AIC=693.5 AICc=693.99 BIC=699.41
paste0("Optimo pero con regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero con regresor"
arima_optimal2 = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m, xreg=as.numeric(ts_uf_serie_corrected_m[1:(length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total))]))
arima_optimal2
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m
## Regression with ARIMA(1,0,0) errors
##
## Coefficients:
## ar1 intercept xreg
## 0.3496 804.4813 6.3900
## s.e. 0.1345 363.4991 11.7833
##
## sigma^2 = 26479: log likelihood = -343.6
## AIC=695.21 AICc=696.04 BIC=703.09
forecast_uf<-
cbind.data.frame(fecha=as.Date(seq(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])),(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)]))+299),by=1), origin = "1970-01-01"),forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=300)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(ano_m=stringr::str_extract(fecha,".{7}")) %>%
dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(`Hi 95`,na.rm=T))/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
data.frame()
autplo2t2<-
autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf), h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>%
plotly::layout(showlegend = F,
yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
xaxis = list(
title="Fecha",
ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]),
tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
tickmode = "array"#"array"
))
autplo2t2
fr_fit_tbats_m<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m2<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m3<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2, h=12,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf))
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m3)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)), dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m2)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>%
dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>%
dplyr::arrange(variable) %>%
knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Estimación en miles de la plata a gastar en el futuro (de aquí a 12 meses) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
col.names= c("Item","Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF)","Modelo ARIMA sin regresor","Modelo TBATS"))
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
| Item | Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF) | Modelo ARIMA sin regresor | Modelo TBATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lo.95 | 709.9517 | 661.4355 | 654.2892 |
| Lo.80 | 827.7800 | 778.8363 | 729.7131 |
| Point.Forecast | 1050.3629 | 1000.6115 | 896.7250 |
| Hi.80 | 1272.9458 | 1222.3868 | 1209.7849 |
| Hi.95 | 1390.7741 | 1339.7875 | 1417.5933 |
path_sec2<- paste0("https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"/export?format=csv&id=",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"&gid=847461368")
Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec2),
#col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador","link"),
skip=0)
## Rows: 55 Columns: 4
## -- Column specification --------------------------------------------------------
## Delimiter: ","
## chr (1): mes_ano
## dbl (3): n, Tami, Andrés
##
## i Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
## i Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.
head(Gastos_casa_mensual_2022,5) %>%
knitr::kable("markdown",caption="Resumen mensual, primeras 5 observaciones")
| n | mes_ano | Tami | Andrés |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | marzo_2019 | 175533 | 68268 |
| 2 | abril_2019 | 152640 | 55031 |
| 3 | mayo_2019 | 152985 | 192219 |
| 4 | junio_2019 | 291067 | 84961 |
| 5 | julio_2019 | 241389 | 205893 |
(
Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 %>%
reshape2::melt(id.var=c("n","mes_ano")) %>%
dplyr::mutate(gastador=as.factor(variable)) %>%
dplyr::select(-variable) %>%
ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = n, y = value, color=gastador)) +
scale_color_manual(name="Gastador", values=c("red", "blue"))+
geom_line(size=1) +
#geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses", subtitle="Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
ggtitle( "Gastos Mensuales (total manual)") +
scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) +
# scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
# scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
# guides(color = F)+
sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
theme(
panel.border = element_blank(),
panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
panel.grid.minor = element_blank(),
axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
)
) %>% ggplotly()
Sys.getenv("R_LIBS_USER")
## [1] "D:\\a\\_temp\\Library"
sessionInfo()
## R version 4.1.2 (2021-11-01)
## Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)
## Running under: Windows Server x64 (build 20348)
##
## Matrix products: default
##
## locale:
## [1] LC_COLLATE=Spanish_Chile.1252 LC_CTYPE=Spanish_Chile.1252
## [3] LC_MONETARY=Spanish_Chile.1252 LC_NUMERIC=C
## [5] LC_TIME=Spanish_Chile.1252
##
## attached base packages:
## [1] grid stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods
## [8] base
##
## other attached packages:
## [1] CausalImpact_1.3.0 bsts_0.9.9 BoomSpikeSlab_1.2.5
## [4] Boom_0.9.11 scales_1.2.1 ggiraph_0.8.7
## [7] tidytext_0.4.1 DT_0.28 autoplotly_0.1.4
## [10] rvest_1.0.3 plotly_4.10.2 xts_0.13.1
## [13] forecast_8.21 wordcloud_2.6 RColorBrewer_1.1-3
## [16] SnowballC_0.7.1 tm_0.7-11 NLP_0.2-1
## [19] tsibble_1.1.3 lubridate_1.9.2 forcats_1.0.0
## [22] dplyr_1.1.2 purrr_1.0.1 tidyr_1.3.0
## [25] tibble_3.2.1 ggplot2_3.4.2 tidyverse_2.0.0
## [28] sjPlot_2.8.14 lattice_0.20-45 gridExtra_2.3
## [31] plotrix_3.8-2 sparklyr_1.8.2 httr_1.4.6
## [34] readxl_1.4.3 zoo_1.8-12 stringr_1.5.0
## [37] stringi_1.7.12 data.table_1.14.8 reshape2_1.4.4
## [40] fUnitRoots_4021.80 plyr_1.8.8 readr_2.1.4
##
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
## [1] uuid_1.1-0 backports_1.4.1 systemfonts_1.0.4
## [4] selectr_0.4-2 lazyeval_0.2.2 splines_4.1.2
## [7] crosstalk_1.2.0 digest_0.6.31 htmltools_0.5.5
## [10] fansi_1.0.4 ggfortify_0.4.16 magrittr_2.0.3
## [13] tzdb_0.4.0 modelr_0.1.11 vroom_1.6.3
## [16] timechange_0.2.0 anytime_0.3.9 tseries_0.10-54
## [19] colorspace_2.1-0 xfun_0.39 crayon_1.5.2
## [22] jsonlite_1.8.4 lme4_1.1-34 glue_1.6.2
## [25] gtable_0.3.3 emmeans_1.8.7 sjstats_0.18.2
## [28] sjmisc_2.8.9 car_3.1-2 quantmod_0.4.24
## [31] abind_1.4-5 mvtnorm_1.2-2 DBI_1.1.3
## [34] ggeffects_1.2.3 Rcpp_1.0.10 viridisLite_0.4.2
## [37] xtable_1.8-4 performance_0.10.4 bit_4.0.5
## [40] htmlwidgets_1.6.2 timeSeries_4030.106 gplots_3.1.3
## [43] ellipsis_0.3.2 spatial_7.3-14 pkgconfig_2.0.3
## [46] farver_2.1.1 nnet_7.3-16 sass_0.4.5
## [49] dbplyr_2.3.3 janitor_2.2.0 utf8_1.2.3
## [52] tidyselect_1.2.0 labeling_0.4.2 rlang_1.1.0
## [55] munsell_0.5.0 cellranger_1.1.0 tools_4.1.2
## [58] cachem_1.0.7 cli_3.6.1 generics_0.1.3
## [61] sjlabelled_1.2.0 broom_1.0.5 evaluate_0.20
## [64] fastmap_1.1.1 yaml_2.3.7 knitr_1.43
## [67] bit64_4.0.5 caTools_1.18.2 nlme_3.1-153
## [70] slam_0.1-50 xml2_1.3.3 tokenizers_0.3.0
## [73] compiler_4.1.2 rstudioapi_0.14 curl_5.0.0
## [76] bslib_0.4.2 highr_0.10 fBasics_4022.94
## [79] Matrix_1.6-0 its.analysis_1.6.0 nloptr_2.0.3
## [82] urca_1.3-3 vctrs_0.6.1 pillar_1.9.0
## [85] lifecycle_1.0.3 lmtest_0.9-40 jquerylib_0.1.4
## [88] estimability_1.4.1 bitops_1.0-7 insight_0.19.3
## [91] R6_2.5.1 KernSmooth_2.23-20 janeaustenr_1.0.0
## [94] codetools_0.2-18 assertthat_0.2.1 boot_1.3-28
## [97] MASS_7.3-54 gtools_3.9.4 withr_2.5.0
## [100] fracdiff_1.5-2 bayestestR_0.13.1 parallel_4.1.2
## [103] hms_1.1.3 quadprog_1.5-8 timeDate_4022.108
## [106] minqa_1.2.5 snakecase_0.11.0 rmarkdown_2.23
## [109] carData_3.0-5 TTR_0.24.3 base64enc_0.1-3
#save.image("__analisis.RData")
sesion_info <- devtools::session_info()
dplyr::select(
tibble::as_tibble(sesion_info$packages),
c(package, loadedversion, source)
) %>%
DT::datatable(filter = 'top', colnames = c('Row number' =1,'Variable' = 2, 'Percentage'= 3),
caption = htmltools::tags$caption(
style = 'caption-side: top; text-align: left;',
'', htmltools::em('Packages')),
options=list(
initComplete = htmlwidgets::JS(
"function(settings, json) {",
"$(this.api().tables().body()).css({
'font-family': 'Helvetica Neue',
'font-size': '50%',
'code-inline-font-size': '15%',
'white-space': 'nowrap',
'line-height': '0.75em',
'min-height': '0.5em'
});",#;
"}")))